•  50
    Probabilities of Conditionals in Decision Theory
    Pacific Philosophical Quarterly 65 (1): 59-73. 2017.
  •  93
    Contractiarianism and Bargaining Theory
    Journal of Philosophical Research 16 369-385. 1991.
    Classical bargaining theory attempts to solve a bargaining problem using only the information about the problem contained in the representation of its possible outcomes in utility space. However, this information usually underdetermines the solution. I use additional information about interpersonal comparisons of utility and bargaining power. The solution is then the outcome that maximizes the sum of power-weighted utilities. I use these results to advance a contractarian argument for a utilitar…Read more
  •  93
    Food products with genetically modified (GM) ingredients are common, yet many consumers are unaware of this. When polled, consumers say that they want to know whether their food contains GM ingredients, just as many want to know whether their food is natural or organic. Informing consumers is a major motivation for labeling. But labeling need not be mandatory. Consumers who want GM-free products will pay a premium to support voluntary labeling. Why do consumers want to know about GM ingredients?…Read more
  •  96
    I will characterize the utilitarian and maximin rules of social choice game-theoretically. That is, I will introduce games whose solutions are the utilitarian and maximin distributions respectively. Then I will compare the rules by exploring similarities and differences between these games. This method of comparison has been carried out by others. But I characterize the two rules using games that involve bargaining within power structures. This new characterization better highlights the ethical …Read more
  •  73
    Introduction
    Synthese 176 (1): 1-3. 2010.
    This introduction is to a special journal issue on realistic standards for decisions. A realistic standard takes account of human cognitive limits, the circumstances for making a decision, and the features of a decision problem.
  •  71
    When new technologies create risks, government agencies use regulations to control the risks. This paper advances a method of evaluating a democracy’s regulation of risks. It assumes that a regulatory agency should act as the public would act in ideal conditions for negotiation if the public were rational and informed. The method relies on decision theory and game theory to ascertain whether a regulation has the public’s informed support. The Occupational Safety and Health Administration’s regul…Read more
  •  23
    This book represents a major contribution to game theory. It offers this conception of equilibrium in games: strategic equilibrium. This conception arises from a study of expected utility decision principles, which must be revised to take account of the evidence a choice provides concerning its outcome. The argument for these principles distinguishes reasons for action from incentives, and draws on contemporary analyses of counterfactual conditionals. The book also includes a procedure for ident…Read more
  •  67
    The contributors
    Synthese 176 (1): 149-150. 2010.
    This lists the contributors to a special issue on realistic standards for decisions.
  •  150
    Economic theory may explain the behavior of animals. Its application to animals is not straightforward, however.
  •  59
    Does collective rationality entail efficiency?
    Logic Journal of the IGPL 18 (2): 308-322. 2010.
    Collective rationality in its ordinary sense is rationality’s extension to groups. It does not entail efficiency by definition. Showing that it entails efficiency requires a normative argument. Game theorists treating cooperative games generally assume that collective rationality entails efficiency, but formulating the reasoning that leads individuals to efficiency, and verifying the rationality of its steps, presents challenging philosophical issues. This paper constructs a framework for addres…Read more
  •  39
    Review of Erik J. Olsson (ed.), Knowledge and Inquiry: Essays on the Pragmatism of Isaac Levi (review)
    Notre Dame Philosophical Reviews 2007 (8). 2007.
  •  147
    Causal decision theory
    Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy. 2009.
  •  105
    Optimization and improvement (review)
    Philosophical Studies 148 (3). 2010.
    Agents face serious obstacles to making optimal decisions. For instance, their cognitive limits stand in the way. John Pollock’s book, Thinking about Acting , suggests many ways of revising decision principles to accommodate human limits and to direct limited, artificial agents. The book’s main proposal is to replace optimization, or expected-utility maximization, with locally global planning. This essay describes optimization and locally global planning, and then argues that optimization among …Read more
  •  152
    Belief and acceptance
    In Belief and acceptance, Kluwer Academic. pp. 499--520. 2004.
    The attitudes of belief and acceptance are similar but differ in important respects such as their relation to degree of belief.
  •  132
    This paper summarizes and rebuts the three standard objections made by social choice theorists against interpersonal utility. The first objection argues that interpersonal utility is measningless. I show that this objection either focuses on irrelevant kinds of meaning or else uses implausible criteria of meaningfulness. The second objection argues that interpersonal utility has no role to play in social choice theory. I show that on the contrary interpersonal utility is useful in formulating go…Read more
  •  205
    Utility tempered with equality
    Noûs 17 (3): 423-439. 1983.
  •  74
    From rationality to coordination
    Behavioral and Brain Sciences 26 (2): 179-180. 2003.
    Game theory's paradoxes stimulate the study of rationality. Sometimes they motivate the revising of standard principles of rationality. Other times they call for revising applications of those principles or introducing supplementary principles of rationality. I maintain that rationality adjusts its demands to circumstances, and in ideal games of coordination it yields a payoff-dominant equilibrium.
  •  46
    How does Bayesian reasoning support participation in a game's Nash equilibrium? This paper provides an answer.
  •  187
    Auguste Comte, John Stuart Mill, et l'economie politique
    Journal of French and Francophone Philosophy 8 (1): 40-53. 1996.
    none.
  •  70
    Decisions to follow a rule
    Behavioral and Brain Sciences 25 (2): 280-281. 2002.
    Rachlin favors following patterns over making decisions case by case. However, his accounts of self-control and altruism do not establish the rationality of making decisions according to patterns. The best arguments for using patterns as a standard of evaluation appeal to savings in cognitive costs and compensation for irrational dispositions. What the arguments show depends on how they are elaborated and refined.
  •  182
    Risk's Place in Decision Rules
    Synthese 126 (3): 427-441. 2001.
    To handle epistemic and pragmatic risks, Gärdenfors and Sahlin (1982, 1988) design a decision procedure for cases in which probabilities are indeterminate. Their procedure steps outside the traditional expected utility framework. Must it do this? Can the traditional framework handle risk? This paper argues that it can. The key is a comprehensive interpretation of an option's possible outcomes. Taking possible outcomes more broadly than Gärdenfors and Sahlin do, expected utility can give risk its…Read more
  •  430
    The conditional probability of h given e is commonly claimed to be equal to the probability that h would have if e were learned. Here I contend that this general claim about conditional probabilities is false. I present a counter-example that involves probabilities of probabilities, a second that involves probabilities of possible future actions, and a third that involves probabilities of indicative conditionals. In addition, I briefly defend these counter-examples against charges that the proba…Read more
  • This collection treats classic problems in decision theory such as Newcomb's Problem and the Prisoner's Dilemma. The reviews describes and evaluates the essays.
  •  52
    Conditionalization and Evidence
    Journal of Critical Analysis 8 (1): 15-18. 1979.
  •  49
    Liberal Utilitarianism
    Philosophical Books 30 (3): 182-183. 1989.
    This book review describes and evaluates Jonathan Riley's views about utilitarianism.
  •  104
    Adam Morton on Dilemmas
    Dialogue 33 (1): 95. 1994.
    Adam Morton offers a novel approach to making decisions. This review describes and evaluates his innovations
  •  282
    Initiating coordination
    Philosophy of Science 74 (5): 790-801. 2007.
    How do rational agents coordinate in a single-stage, noncooperative game? Common knowledge of the payoff matrix and of each player's utility maximization among his strategies does not suffice. This paper argues that utility maximization among intentions and then acts generates coordination yielding a payoff-dominant Nash equilibrium. ‡I thank the audience at my paper's presentation at the 2006 PSA meeting for many insightful points. †To contact the author, please write to: Philosophy Department,…Read more
  •  131
    Utility and framing
    Synthese 176 (1). 2010.
    Standard principles of rational decision assume that an option's utility is both comprehensive and accessible. These features constrain interpretations of an option's utility. This essay presents a way of understanding utility and laws of utility. It explains the relation between an option's utility and its outcome's utility and argues that an option's utility is relative to a specification of the option. Utility's relativity explains how a decision problem's framing affects an option's utility …Read more
  • This book review describes and evaluates the essays collected by the editors.
  •  45
    The Cement of Society
    Philosophical Books 33 (1): 1-9. 1992.
    This critical notice describes and evaluates Jon Elster' views in Solomonic Judgments, Nuts and Bolts for the Social Sciences, and The Cement of Society