•  307
    Conditional utility and its place in decision theory
    Journal of Philosophy 77 (11): 702-715. 1980.
    Causal decision theory attends to probabilities used to obtain an option's expected utility but for completeness should also attend to utilities of possible outcomes. A suitable formula for an option's expected utility uses a certain type of conditional utility.
  •  6
    Probabilities in decision rules
    In Ellery Eells & James H. Fetzer (eds.), The Place of Probability in Science, Springer. pp. 289--319. 2010.
    The theory of direct reference suggests revising probability theory so that a probability attaches to a proposition given a way of understanding the proposition. The revisions make probabilities relative but do not change their structure.
  • Comte et Mill sur l'économie politique
    Revue Internationale de Philosophie 52 (203): 79-93. 1998.
    This essay compares the views of Auguste Comte and John Stuart Mill on political economy.
  •  52
    Food products with genetically modified ingredients are common, yet many consumers are unaware of this. When polled, consumers say that they want to know whether their food contains GM ingredients, just as many want to know whether their food is natural or organic. Informing consumers is a major motivation for labeling. But labeling need not be mandatory. Consumers who want GM-free products will pay a premium to support voluntary labeling. Why do consumers want to know about GM ingredients? GM f…Read more
  •  37
    Contractiarianism and Bargaining Theory
    Journal of Philosophical Research 16 369-385. 1991.
    Classical bargaining theory attempts to solve a bargaining problem using only the information about the problem contained in the representation of its possible outcomes in utility space. However, this information usually underdetermines the solution. I use additional information about interpersonal comparisons of utility and bargaining power. The solution is then the outcome that maximizes the sum of power-weighted utilities. I use these results to advance a contractarian argument for a utilitar…Read more
  •  95
    Initiating coordination
    Philosophy of Science 74 (5): 790-801. 2007.
    How do rational agents coordinate in a single-stage, noncooperative game? Common knowledge of the payoff matrix and of each player's utility maximization among his strategies does not suffice. This paper argues that utility maximization among intentions and then acts generates coordination yielding a payoff-dominant Nash equilibrium. ‡I thank the audience at my paper's presentation at the 2006 PSA meeting for many insightful points. †To contact the author, please write to: Philosophy Department,…Read more
  •  14
    Self-Supporting Strategies and Equilibria in Games
    American Philosophical Quarterly 36 (4). 1999.
    A strategic equilibrium is a profile of strategies that are each self-supporting given the profile. Strategic equilibria exist in games without Nash equilibria.
  •  85
    Economic Rationality
    In Alfred R. Mele & Piers Rawling (eds.), The Oxford Handbook of Rationality, Oup Usa. 2004.
    Weirich examines three competing views entertained by economic theory about the instrumental rationality of decisions: the first says to maximize self-interest, the second to maximize utility, and the third to satisfice, that is, to adopt a satisfactory option. Critics argue that the first view is too narrow, that the second overlooks the benefits of teamwork and planning, and that the third, when carefully formulated, reduces to the second. Weirich defends a refined version of the principle to …Read more
  •  123
    Unsharp Sharpness
    with Nils-Eric Sahlin
    Theoria 80 (1): 100-103. 2013.
    In a recent, thought-provoking paper Adam Elga argues against unsharp – e.g., indeterminate, fuzzy and unreliable – probabilities. Rationality demands sharpness, he contends, and this means that decision theories like Levi's, Gärdenfors and Sahlin's, and Kyburg's, though they employ different decision rules, face a common, and serious, problem. This article defends the rule to maximize minimum expected utility against Elga's objection
  •  7
    Decision Space: Multidimensional Utility Analysis
    Cambridge University Press. 2001.
    In Decision Space: Multidimensional Utility Analysis, first published in 2001, Paul Weirich increases the power and versatility of utility analysis and in the process advances decision theory. Combining traditional and novel methods of option evaluation into one systematic method of analysis, multidimensional utility analysis is a valuable tool. It provides formulations of important decision principles, such as the principle to maximize expected utility; enriches decision theory in solving recal…Read more
  •  321
    The conditional probability of h given e is commonly claimed to be equal to the probability that h would have if e were learned. Here I contend that this general claim about conditional probabilities is false. I present a counter-example that involves probabilities of probabilities, a second that involves probabilities of possible future actions, and a third that involves probabilities of indicative conditionals. In addition, I briefly defend these counter-examples against charges that the proba…Read more
  •  7
    No Title available: Reviews
    Economics and Philosophy 15 (2): 295-302. 1999.
  •  92
    The St. Petersburg gamble and risk
    Theory and Decision 17 (2): 193-202. 1984.
    One resolution of the St. Petersburg paradox recognizes that a gamble carries a risk sensitive to the gamble's stakes. If aversion to risk increases sufficiently fast as stakes go up, the St. Petersburg gamble has a finite utility.
  •  10
    Conventions and Social Institutions
    Southern Journal of Philosophy 27 (4): 599-618. 1989.
  • Review: The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory (review)
    Philosophical Books 41 (3): 217-219. 2000.
  •  14
    The Cement of Society
    Philosophical Books 33 (1): 1-9. 1992.
    This critical notice describes and evaluates Jon Elster' views in Solomonic Judgments, Nuts and Bolts for the Social Sciences, and The Cement of Society
  • Book Review (review)
    Economics and Philosophy 15 (2): 295-302. 1999.
  • Frederic Schick, Ambiguity and Logic (review)
    Philosophy in Review 24 222-224. 2004.
  •  107
    Rousseau on proportional majority rule
    Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 47 (1): 111-126. 1986.
  •  50
    A decision maker's options
    Philosophical Studies 44 (2). 1983.
    An agent's options in a decision problem are best understood as the decisions that the agent might make. Taking options this way eliminates the gap between an option's adoption and its execution.
  •  25
    Decisions without Sharp Probabilities
    Philosophia Scientiae 19 213-225. 2015.
    Adam Elga [Elga 2010] argues that no principle of rationality leads from unsharp probabilities to decisions. He concludes that a perfectly rational agent does not have unsharp probabilities. This paper defends unsharp probabilities. It shows how unsharp probabilities may ground rational decisions.
  •  28
    J. Howard Sobel has long been recognized as an important figure in philosophical discussions of rational decision. He has done much to help formulate the concept of causal decision theory. In this volume of essays Sobel explores the Bayesian idea that rational actions maximize expected values, where an action's expected value is a weighted average of its agent's values for its possible total outcomes. Newcomb's Problem and The Prisoner's Dilemma are discussed, and Allais-type puzzles are viewed …Read more
  •  14
    Does collective rationality entail efficiency?
    Logic Journal of the IGPL 18 (2): 308-322. 2010.
    Collective rationality in its ordinary sense is rationality’s extension to groups. It does not entail efficiency by definition. Showing that it entails efficiency requires a normative argument. Game theorists treating cooperative games generally assume that collective rationality entails efficiency, but formulating the reasoning that leads individuals to efficiency, and verifying the rationality of its steps, presents challenging philosophical issues. This paper constructs a framework for addres…Read more
  •  4
    Probabilities of Conditionals in Decision Theory
    Pacific Philosophical Quarterly 65 (1): 59-73. 2017.
  •  71
    Utility Maximization Generalized
    Journal of Moral Philosophy 5 (2): 282-299. 2008.
    Theories of rationality advance principles that differ in topic, scope, and assumptions. A typical version of the principle of utility maximization formulates a standard rather than a procedure for decisions, evaluates decisions comprehensively, and relies on idealizations. I generalize the principle by removing some idealizations and making adjustments for their absence. The generalizations accommodate agents who have incomplete probability and utility assignments and are imperfectly rational. …Read more