•  537
    We present a decision-theoretically motivated notion of contraction which, we claim, encodes the principles of minimal change and entrenchment. Contraction is seen as an operation whose goal is to minimize loses of informational value. The operation is also compatible with the principle that in contracting A one should preserve the sentences better entrenched than A (when the belief set contains A). Even when the principle of minimal change and the latter motivation for entrenchment figure promi…Read more
  •  13
    Philosophy of Science (review)
    Journal of Philosophy 58 (14): 387-390. 1961.
  •  29
    Dissonance and Consistency according to Shackle and Shafer
    PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1978. 1978.
  •  86
    Hacking Salmon on induction
    Journal of Philosophy 62 (18): 481-487. 1965.
  •  67
    Pragmatism and Change of View
    Canadian Journal of Philosophy 28 (sup1): 177-201. 1998.
  •  115
    Contracting From Epistemic Hell is Routine
    Synthese 135 (1): 141-164. 2003.
    I respond to Erik Olsson's critique of my account of contraction frominconsistent belief states, by admitting that such contraction cannot be rationalized as adeliberate decision problem. It can, however, be rationalized as a routine designed prior toinadvertent expansion into inconsistency when the deliberating agent embraces a consistent point of view.
  •  76
    Gaifman
    Synthese 140 (1). 2004.
  •  131
    Newcomb’s Many Problems
    Theory and Decision 6 (2): 161-175. 1975.
    Newcomb's paradox rests on two arguments one appealing to the principle of maximizing expected utility and one appealing to dominance in order to generate conflicting recommendations in certain kinds of choice situations. In my essay, I argue that the applications of the principle of maximizing expected utility and of the dominance principle are both fallacious and that the specification of the decision problem is too indeterminate to render a verdict between the two options considered. I also s…Read more
  •  387
  •  87
    List and Pettit
    Synthese 140 (1). 2004.
  •  154
    Belief and Action
    The Monist 48 (2): 306-315. 1964.
    “Ethics and science,” wrote Poincaré, “have their own domains, which touch but do not interpenetrate. The one shows us to what goal we should aspire, the other, given the goal, teaches us how to attain it.” Poincare’ may be mistaken in supposing that science has nothing to contribute to the selection of goals. He is surely right, however, in insisting on the relevance of the results of science to the choice of policies for realising goals already selected.
  •  106
    Escape from Boredom: Edification According to Rorty
    Canadian Journal of Philosophy 11 (4). 1981.
    Richard Rorty sings in the antifoundationalist chorus. His song equates the rise of foundationalist epistemology with the professionalization of philosophy. The discordant notes he finds in the foundationalist score become, as a consequence, subversive of philosophy as an autonomous discipline.Nonetheless, the most salient feature of Rorty's recent book, Philosophy and the Mirror of Nature, is that it is by a professional philosopher, for professional philosophers and about the future of philoso…Read more
  •  191
    Why Rational Agents Should Not Be Liberal Maximizers
    Canadian Journal of Philosophy 38 (S1): 1-17. 2008.
    Hans Herzberger's 1973 essay 'Ordinal Preference and Rational Choice' is a classic milestone in the erosion of the idea that rational agents are maximizers of utility. By the time Herzberger wrote, many authors had replaced this claim with the thesis that rational agents are maximizers of preference. That is to say, it was assumed that at the moment of choice a rational agent has a weak ordering representing his or her preferences among the options available to the agent for choice and that the …Read more
  •  238
    If Jones only knew more!
    British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 20 (2): 153-159. 1969.
  •  125
    Reply to Maher and Kashima
    Economics and Philosophy 7 (1): 101-103. 1991.
  •  65
    Reviews (review)
    British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 19 (3): 259-261. 1968.
  •  221
    Direct inference
    Journal of Philosophy 74 (1): 5-29. 1977.
  •  101
    The Matter of Chance
    Philosophical Review 82 (4): 524. 1973.
  •  80
    Information and error
    Behavioral and Brain Sciences 6 (1): 74-75. 1983.
  •  71
    Prediction, Bayesian Deliberation and Correlated Equilibrium
    Vienna Circle Institute Yearbook 5 173-185. 1998.
    In a pair of controversy provoking papers1, Kadane and Larkey argued that the normative or prescriptive understanding of expected utility theory recommended that participants in a game maximize expected utility given their assessments of the probabilities of the moves that other players would make. They observed that no prescription, norm or standard of Bayesian rationality recommends how they should come to make probability judgments about the choices of other players. For any given player, it …Read more
  •  95
    Carol Rovane
    Synthese 140 (1). 2004.
  •  153
    It is a commonplace that in making decisions agents often have to juggle competing values, and that no choice will maximise satisfaction of them all. However, the prevailing account of these cases assumes that there is always a single ranking of the agent's values, and therefore no unresolvable conflict between them. Isaac Levi denies this assumption, arguing that agents often must choose without having balanced their different values and that to be rational, an act does not have to be optimal, …Read more
  •  95
    On Indeterminate Probabilities
    Journal of Philosophy 71 (13): 233--261. 1978.
  •  69
    Conjunctive bliss
    Behavioral and Brain Sciences 6 (2): 254-255. 1983.
  •  68
    Truth, content, and ties
    Journal of Philosophy 68 (23): 865-876. 1971.
  •  102
    Fallacy and controversy about base rates
    Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1): 31-32. 1996.
    Koehler's target article attempts a balanced view of the relevance of knowledge of base rates to judgments of subjective or credal probability, but he is not sensitive enough to the difference between requiring and permitting the equation of probability judgments with base rates, the interaction between precision of base rate and reference class information, and the possibility of indeterminate probability judgment.
  •  90
    Money Pumps and Diachronic Books
    Philosophy of Science 69 (S3). 2002.
    The idea that rational agents should have acyclic preferences and should obey conditionalization has been defended on the grounds that otherwise an agent is threatened with becoming a “money pump.” This essay argues that such arguments fail to prove their claims.