•  100
    The Matter of Chance
    Philosophical Review 82 (4): 524. 1973.
  •  72
    Information and error
    Behavioral and Brain Sciences 6 (1): 74-75. 1983.
  •  71
    Prediction, Bayesian Deliberation and Correlated Equilibrium
    Vienna Circle Institute Yearbook 5 173-185. 1998.
    In a pair of controversy provoking papers1, Kadane and Larkey argued that the normative or prescriptive understanding of expected utility theory recommended that participants in a game maximize expected utility given their assessments of the probabilities of the moves that other players would make. They observed that no prescription, norm or standard of Bayesian rationality recommends how they should come to make probability judgments about the choices of other players. For any given player, it …Read more
  •  66
    Conjunctive bliss
    Behavioral and Brain Sciences 6 (2): 254-255. 1983.
  •  68
    Truth, content, and ties
    Journal of Philosophy 68 (23): 865-876. 1971.
  •  149
    It is a commonplace that in making decisions agents often have to juggle competing values, and that no choice will maximise satisfaction of them all. However, the prevailing account of these cases assumes that there is always a single ranking of the agent's values, and therefore no unresolvable conflict between them. Isaac Levi denies this assumption, arguing that agents often must choose without having balanced their different values and that to be rational, an act does not have to be optimal, …Read more
  •  95
    On Indeterminate Probabilities
    Journal of Philosophy 71 (13): 233--261. 1978.
  •  142
    Support and surprise: L. J. Cohen's view of inductive probability (review)
    British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 30 (3): 279-292. 1979.
  •  97
    Fallacy and controversy about base rates
    Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1): 31-32. 1996.
    Koehler's target article attempts a balanced view of the relevance of knowledge of base rates to judgments of subjective or credal probability, but he is not sensitive enough to the difference between requiring and permitting the equation of probability judgments with base rates, the interaction between precision of base rate and reference class information, and the possibility of indeterminate probability judgment.
  •  90
    Money Pumps and Diachronic Books
    Philosophy of Science 69 (S3). 2002.
    The idea that rational agents should have acyclic preferences and should obey conditionalization has been defended on the grounds that otherwise an agent is threatened with becoming a “money pump.” This essay argues that such arguments fail to prove their claims.
  •  30
    Book reviews (review)
    Mind 101 (402): 386-390. 1992.
  •  44
    Review: Inclusive Rationality (review)
    Journal of Philosophy 101 (5). 2004.
  •  150
    Jaakko Hintikka
    Synthese 140 (1). 2004.
  •  171
    A note on newcombmania
    Journal of Philosophy 79 (6): 337-342. 1982.