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Michael Shaffer

Gustavus Adolphus College
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  • Gustavus Adolphus College
    Department of Philosophy
    Visiting Assistant Professor
University of Miami
Department of Philosophy
PhD, 2000
Homepage
St. Cloud, Minnesota, United States of America
Areas of Specialization
Epistemology
Logic and Philosophy of Logic
General Philosophy of Science
Philosophy of Cognitive Science
Philosophy of Medicine
Philosophy of Medicine, Misc
1 more
Areas of Interest
Epistemology
Metaphilosophy
M&E, Misc
Logic and Philosophy of Logic
Philosophy of Mathematics
Philosophy of Physical Science
Philosophy of Probability
General Philosophy of Science
3 more
PhilPapers Editorships
The Synthetic A Priori
The Concept of Knowledge
  • All publications (80)
  •  9
    Safety, the Preface Paradox and Possible Worlds Semantics
    Global Philosophy 29 (4): 347-361. 2019.
    This paper contains an argument to the effect that possible worlds semantics renders semantic knowledge impossible, no matter what ontological interpretation is given to possible worlds. The essential contention made is that possible worlds semantic knowledge is unsafe and this is shown by a parallel with the preface paradox.
  •  9
    Might/would duality and the probabilities of counterfactuals
    Logique Et Analyse 61 119-124. 2018.
    In this paper it is argued that Lewis' account of might counterfactuals and his account of the probabilities of counterfactuals lead to a result that is at odds with the way in which might counterfactuals operate in ordinary language. © 2018 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
    Metaphysics and Epistemology
  •  5
    Can Knowledge Really be Non-factive?
    Logos and Episteme 12 (2): 215-226. 2021.
    This paper contains a critical examination of the prospects for analyses of knowledge that weaken the factivity condition so that knowledge implies only approximate truth.
    Metaphysics and Epistemology
  •  14
    The Paradox of Knowability and Factivity
    Polish Journal of Philosophy 8 (1): 85-91. 2014.
  • The Experimental Turn and the Methods of Philosophy
    Routledge. 2018.
    Experimental philosophy is one of the most controversial and potentially revolutionary areas of philosophical research today. X-Phi, as it is known by many of its practitioners, questions many basic concepts regarding human intuitions—concepts which have guided centuries of modern philosophers. In their place, x-phi steers philosophical research back to scientific investigations in order to better understand human intuitions, using research techniques borrowed from current research in psychology…Read more
    Experimental philosophy is one of the most controversial and potentially revolutionary areas of philosophical research today. X-Phi, as it is known by many of its practitioners, questions many basic concepts regarding human intuitions—concepts which have guided centuries of modern philosophers. In their place, x-phi steers philosophical research back to scientific investigations in order to better understand human intuitions, using research techniques borrowed from current research in psychology and neuroscience. While scholars debate whether experimental philosophy signals a sea change or is merely a faddish detour, no existing book looks at the X-Phi movement in reference to its methodology. In _The Experimental Turn and the Methods of Philosophy_, Michael J.Shaffer addresses this need, suggesting that the significance of experimental philosophy can best be assessed and understood in methodological terms. By comparing and contrasting traditional views of philosophical methodology with those of experimental philosophy, Shaffer traces the roots of the movement to Quinean naturalism and also demonstrates the deep, revolutionary significance of the experimental turn.
    Foundations of Experimental PhilosophyExperimental Philosophy, Misc
  • A Man for All Seasonings
    In Scott Calef (ed.), Anthony Bourdain and Philosophy, Open Universe. pp. 3-12. 2023.
    This chapter explores the epistemology of taste in general and Anthony Bourdain's particular contributions to both gastronomy and tolerance for people of different cultures.
    Crosscultural AestheticsCultural RelativismAesthetic RelativismAesthetic KnowledgePerception and Kno…Read more
    Crosscultural AestheticsCultural RelativismAesthetic RelativismAesthetic KnowledgePerception and Knowledge, Misc
  • The Philosophy of Physics (edited book)
    Minkowski Press. forthcoming.
  • Introduction to Logic (edited book)
    Rebus. 2020.
  •  1313
    Integrating Abduction and Inference to the Best Explanation
    European Journal of Pragmatism and American Philosophy 14 (2): 1-18. 2022.
    Tomis Kapitan’s work on Peirce’s conception of abduction was instrumental for our coming to see how Peircean abduction both relates to and is importantly different from inference to the best explanation (IBE). However, he ultimately concluded that Peirce’s conception of abduction was a muddle. Despite the deeply problematic nature of Peirce’s theory of abduction in these respects, Kapitan’s work on Peircean abduction offers insight into the nature of abductive inquiry that is importantly relevan…Read more
    Tomis Kapitan’s work on Peirce’s conception of abduction was instrumental for our coming to see how Peircean abduction both relates to and is importantly different from inference to the best explanation (IBE). However, he ultimately concluded that Peirce’s conception of abduction was a muddle. Despite the deeply problematic nature of Peirce’s theory of abduction in these respects, Kapitan’s work on Peircean abduction offers insight into the nature of abductive inquiry that is importantly relevant to the task of making sense of explanatory inquiry in the sciences in general. The view developed here stems from his work and involves disambiguating three forms of inference involved in Peircean abduction in terms of Reichenbach’s and Laudan’s context models of inquiry. Importantly, this includes understanding that abduction involves the context of pursuit.
    Propositional AttitudesEpistemic LogicAbduction and Scientific RealismInference to the Best Explanat…Read more
    Propositional AttitudesEpistemic LogicAbduction and Scientific RealismInference to the Best Explanation, MiscErotetic LogicScientific DiscoveryDecision TheoryModal and Intensional LogicAmerican Pragmatism
  •  1109
    Further Reflections on Quasi-factivism: A Reply to Baumann
    Logos and Episteme 13 (2): 207-215. 2022.
    This paper is a response to Baumann's comments on "Can Knowledge Really be Non-fative?" In this paper Baumann's suggestions for how those who deny the factivty of knowledge might deal with the argument from inconsistency and explosion are addressed.
    Formal SemanticsParaconsistent LogicApproximationThe Concept of KnowledgeDialetheismJustificationSci…Read more
    Formal SemanticsParaconsistent LogicApproximationThe Concept of KnowledgeDialetheismJustificationScientific Truth
  •  813
    The Paradox of Epistemic Obligation Avoided
    The Reasoner 16 49-50. 2022.
    This short paper offers a skeptical solution to Åqvist's paradox of epistemic obligation. The solution is based on the contention that in SDL/KDT logics the externalist features of knowledge, about which we cannot have obligations, are obscured.
    The Concept of KnowledgeEpistemic Paradoxes, MiscBelief, MiscEpistemic Logic, MiscDoxastic Voluntari…Read more
    The Concept of KnowledgeEpistemic Paradoxes, MiscBelief, MiscEpistemic Logic, MiscDoxastic VoluntarismObligationDeontic Logic
  •  1087
    An Argument for the Safety Condition on Knowledge
    Logos and Episteme 8 (4): 517-520. 2017.
    This paper introduces a new argument for the safety condition on knowledge. It is based on the contention that the rejection of safety entails the rejection of the factivity condition on knowledge. But, since we should maintain factivity, we should endorse safery.
    Doxastic and Epistemic LogicPrinciples of Knowledge, Misc
  •  1077
    Safety and the Preface Paradox
    Logos and Episteme 9 (2): 215-219. 2018.
    In the preface paradox the posited author is supposed to know both that every sentence in a book is true and that not every sentence in that book is true. But, this result is paradoxically contradictory. The paradoxicality exhibited in such cases arises chiefly out of the recognition that large-scale and difficult tasks like verifying the truth of large sets of sentences typically involve errors even given our best efforts to be epistemically diligent. This paper introduces an argument design…Read more
    In the preface paradox the posited author is supposed to know both that every sentence in a book is true and that not every sentence in that book is true. But, this result is paradoxically contradictory. The paradoxicality exhibited in such cases arises chiefly out of the recognition that large-scale and difficult tasks like verifying the truth of large sets of sentences typically involve errors even given our best efforts to be epistemically diligent. This paper introduces an argument designed to resolve the preface paradox so understood by appeal to the safety condition on knowledge
    Epistemic Paradoxes, MiscEvidence and Knowledge
  •  1178
    Cognitive biases and the predictable perils of the patient‐centric free‐market model of medicine
    Metaphilosophy 53 (4): 446-456. 2022.
    This paper addresses the recent rise of the use of alternative medicine in Western countries. It offers a novel explanation of that phenomenon in terms of cognitive and economic factors related to the free-market and patient-centric approach to medicine that is currently in place in those countries, in contrast to some alternative explanations of this phenomenon. Moreover, the paper addresses this troubling trend in terms of the serious harms associated with the use of alternative medical moda…Read more
    This paper addresses the recent rise of the use of alternative medicine in Western countries. It offers a novel explanation of that phenomenon in terms of cognitive and economic factors related to the free-market and patient-centric approach to medicine that is currently in place in those countries, in contrast to some alternative explanations of this phenomenon. Moreover, the paper addresses this troubling trend in terms of the serious harms associated with the use of alternative medical modalities. The explanatory theory defended here is then predicated on the idea that an extreme patient-centric model of medical practice that treats largely ignorant patients as consumers of medical products and services endowed with an essentially unrestricted power of freedom to choose treatments predictably leads serious and avoidable harms. Some important moral and epistemological consequences of this model are then articulated and corrective measures are suggested.
    Evidence-Based MedicineIrrationalityTestimonyPublic HealthBehavioral EconomicsIgnoranceHealth Econom…Read more
    Evidence-Based MedicineIrrationalityTestimonyPublic HealthBehavioral EconomicsIgnoranceHealth EconomicsMedical Ethics, Misc
  •  86
    Correction to: Epistemic Luck and Knowledge
    Acta Analytica 37 (1): 7-8. 2022.
    Epistemic Luck
  •  1173
    Deontic Logic, Weakening and Decisions Concerning Disjunctive Obligations
    Logos and Episteme 13 (1): 93-102. 2022.
    This paper introduces two new paradoxes for standard deontic logic (SDL). They are importantly related to, but distinct from Ross' paradox. These two new paradoxes for SDL are the simple weakening paradox and the complex weakening paradox. Both of these paradoxes arise in virtue of the underlaying logic of SDL and are consequences of the fact that SDL incorporates the principle known as weakening. These two paradoxes then show that SDL has counter-intuitive implications related to disjunctive…Read more
    This paper introduces two new paradoxes for standard deontic logic (SDL). They are importantly related to, but distinct from Ross' paradox. These two new paradoxes for SDL are the simple weakening paradox and the complex weakening paradox. Both of these paradoxes arise in virtue of the underlaying logic of SDL and are consequences of the fact that SDL incorporates the principle known as weakening. These two paradoxes then show that SDL has counter-intuitive implications related to disjunctive obligations that arise in virtue of deontic weakening and in virtue of decisions concerning how to discharge such disjunctive obligations. The main result here is then that theorem T1 is a problematic component of SDL that needs to be addressed.
    Paradoxes, MiscDisjunctionDeontic LogicDecision-Theoretic Puzzles, Misc
  •  1303
    Safety, Evidence, and Epistemic Luck
    Acta Analytica 37 (1): 121-134. 2022.
    This paper critically explores Timothy Williamson’s view of evidence, and it does so in light of the problem of epistemic luck. Williamson’s view of evidence is, of course, a crucially important aspect of his novel and influential “knowledge-first” epistemological project. Notoriously, one crucial thesis of this project is that one’s evidence is equivalent to what one knows. This has come to be known as the E = K thesis. This paper specifically addresses Williamson’s knowledge-first epistemology…Read more
    This paper critically explores Timothy Williamson’s view of evidence, and it does so in light of the problem of epistemic luck. Williamson’s view of evidence is, of course, a crucially important aspect of his novel and influential “knowledge-first” epistemological project. Notoriously, one crucial thesis of this project is that one’s evidence is equivalent to what one knows. This has come to be known as the E = K thesis. This paper specifically addresses Williamson’s knowledge-first epistemology and the E = K thesis in the context of anti-luck epistemology and the idea that knowledge is factive. Williamson’s views on these matters are worth investigating in some detail because he subscribes to a well-worked out anti-luck view of knowledge that incorporates what is perhaps the most common anti-luck condition. But this paper is also of more general importance because the critique of Williamson’s views on these matters reveals some important things about the nature of evidence and evidence is one of the most fundamental concepts in epistemology.
    Epistemological TheoriesMeasurement in ScienceThe Gettier ProblemSafety and SensitivityEvidence and …Read more
    Epistemological TheoriesMeasurement in ScienceThe Gettier ProblemSafety and SensitivityEvidence and KnowledgeThe Concept of KnowledgeEpistemic Luck
  •  1320
    Epistemic Luck and Knowledge
    Acta Analytica 37 (1): 1-6. 2022.
    This is an editorial introduction to a special issue of Acta Analytica on epistemic luck.
    Epistemic LuckKnowledge
  •  1649
    Van Fraassen’s Best of a Bad Lot Objection, IBE and Rationality
    Logique Et Analyse 255 267-273. 2021.
    Van Fraassen’s (1989) infamous best of a bad lot objection is widely taken to be the most serious problem that afflicts theories of inference to the best explanation (IBE), for it alleges to show that we should not accept the conclusion of any case of such reasoning as it actually proceeds. Moreover, this is supposed to be the case irrespective of the details of the particular criteria used to select best explanations. The best of a bad lot objection is predicated on, and really only requires,…Read more
    Van Fraassen’s (1989) infamous best of a bad lot objection is widely taken to be the most serious problem that afflicts theories of inference to the best explanation (IBE), for it alleges to show that we should not accept the conclusion of any case of such reasoning as it actually proceeds. Moreover, this is supposed to be the case irrespective of the details of the particular criteria used to select best explanations. The best of a bad lot objection is predicated on, and really only requires, the idea that in any real case of IBE where one hypothesis is favored as best over those with which it competes, it is always the case that it is more likely that the true explanation is to be found in the set of unformulated and unconsidered logical alternatives to the set of actually considered hypotheses. On this basis, Van Fraassen believes that accepting the conclusion of IBEs so understood is irrational and this is simply because such inferences are supposedly not probative. In this paper the best of a bad lot objection will be addressed and it will be shown that Van Fraassen’s notorious criticism of IBE depends on a problematic conflation of two notions of rationality and thus that his criticism of IBE involves a damning equivocation. In essence, he conflates ideal standards of rationality with epistemic standards of rationality and, in so doing, makes it appear to be the case that we should not accept the conclusions of IBEs. But, when we disambiguate the concepts of rationality at work in the argument Van Fraassen’s conclusion simply does not follow.
    Constructive EmpiricismInference to the Best ExplanationRationality
  •  2464
    Can Knowledge Really be Non-factive?
    Logos and Episteme: An International Journal of Epistemology 12 (2): 215-226. 2021.
    This paper contains a critical examination of the prospects for analyses of knowledge that weaken the factivity condition such that knowledge implies approximate truth.
    Science, Logic, and MathematicsNorms of AssertionSafety and SensitivityThe Concept of Knowledge
  • Positivism and the External Real World and Positivism and Realism (edited book)
  •  871
    Introduction to Positivism and the External Real World and Positivism and Realism
    In Michael J. Shaffer (ed.), Positivism and the External Real World and Positivism and Realism. 2020.
    Perception and Knowledge, MiscThe GivenKnowledge, MiscVerificationist Theories of MeaningScientific …Read more
    Perception and Knowledge, MiscThe GivenKnowledge, MiscVerificationist Theories of MeaningScientific Realism, Misc
  •  7146
    Necessary and Sufficient Conditions
    In Introduction to Logic, Rebus. 2020.
    This chapter introduces and discusses the concepts of necessary and sufficient conditions.
    Indicative Conditionals and Conditional ProbabilitiesLogic and Philosophy of Logic, General WorksLog…Read more
    Indicative Conditionals and Conditional ProbabilitiesLogic and Philosophy of Logic, General WorksLogic of ConditionalsDefinitionsConceptual Analysis
  •  823
    Max Plank’s Philosophy and Physics: An Introduction to The Philosophy of Physics
    In Michael Shaffer (ed.), The Philosophy of Physics, Minkowski Press. pp. 1-5. 2019.
    Science and ValuesPhilosophy of Physics, General WorksTheories of the A PrioriClassical MechanicsAto…Read more
    Science and ValuesPhilosophy of Physics, General WorksTheories of the A PrioriClassical MechanicsAtomic and Molecular Physics
  •  1627
    The Availability Heuristic and Inference to the Best Explanation
    Logos and Episteme 10 (4): 409-432. 2019.
    This paper shows how the availability heuristic can be used to justify inference to the best explanation in such a way that van Fraassen's infamous "best of a bad lot" objection can be adroitly avoided. With this end in mind, a dynamic and contextual version of the erotetic model of explanation sufficient to ground this response is presented and defended.
    Rationality and Cognitive ScienceInference to the Best Explanation, MiscTheories of Explanation, Mis…Read more
    Rationality and Cognitive ScienceInference to the Best Explanation, MiscTheories of Explanation, MiscEpistemic Contextualism, Misc
  •  1205
    Unification and the Myth of Purely Reductive Understanding
    Organon F: Medzinárodný Časopis Pre Analytickú Filozofiu 27 (2): 142-168. 2020.
    In this paper significant challenges are raised with respect to the view that explanation essentially involves unification. These objections are raised specifically with respect to the well-known versions of unificationism developed and defended by Michael Friedman and Philip Kitcher. The objections involve the explanatory regress argument and the concepts of reduction and scientific understanding. Essentially, the contention made here is that these versions of unificationism wrongly assume t…Read more
    In this paper significant challenges are raised with respect to the view that explanation essentially involves unification. These objections are raised specifically with respect to the well-known versions of unificationism developed and defended by Michael Friedman and Philip Kitcher. The objections involve the explanatory regress argument and the concepts of reduction and scientific understanding. Essentially, the contention made here is that these versions of unificationism wrongly assume that reduction secures understanding.
    Inference to the Best Explanation, MiscUnification Accounts of ExplanationReductive ExplanationExpla…Read more
    Inference to the Best Explanation, MiscUnification Accounts of ExplanationReductive ExplanationExplanation and UnderstandingSimplicity and Parsimony
  •  1261
    Explaining Evidence Denial as Motivated Pragmatically Rational Epistemic Irrationality
    Metaphilosophy 50 (4): 563-579. 2019.
    This paper introduces a model for evidence denial that explains this behavior as a manifestation of rationality and it is based on the contention that social values (measurable as utilities) often underwrite these sorts of responses. Moreover, it is contended that the value associated with group membership in particular can override epistemic reason when the expected utility of a belief or belief system is great. However, it is also true that it appears to be the case that it is still possible…Read more
    This paper introduces a model for evidence denial that explains this behavior as a manifestation of rationality and it is based on the contention that social values (measurable as utilities) often underwrite these sorts of responses. Moreover, it is contended that the value associated with group membership in particular can override epistemic reason when the expected utility of a belief or belief system is great. However, it is also true that it appears to be the case that it is still possible for such unreasonable believers to reverse this sort of dogmatism and to change their beliefs in a way that is epistemically rational. The conjecture made here is that we should expect this to happen only when the expected utility of the beliefs in question dips below a threshold where the utility value of continued dogmatism and the associated group membership is no longer sufficient to motivate defusing the counter-evidence that tells against such epistemically irrational beliefs.
    IrrationalityRationality and Cognitive ScienceReasons and RationalityEvidence, Misc
  •  1219
    Quine and the Incoherence of the Indispensability Argument
    Logos and Episteme 10 (2): 207-213. 2019.
    It is an under-appreciated fact that Quine's rejection of the analytic/synthetic distinction, when coupled with some other plausible and related views, implies that there are serious difficulties in demarcating empirical theories from pure mathematical theories within the Quinean framework. This is a serious problem because there seems to be a principled difference between the two disciplines that cannot apparently be captured in the orthodox Quienan framework. For the purpose of simplicity le…Read more
    It is an under-appreciated fact that Quine's rejection of the analytic/synthetic distinction, when coupled with some other plausible and related views, implies that there are serious difficulties in demarcating empirical theories from pure mathematical theories within the Quinean framework. This is a serious problem because there seems to be a principled difference between the two disciplines that cannot apparently be captured in the orthodox Quienan framework. For the purpose of simplicity let us call this Quine's problem of demarcation. In this paper this problem will be articulated and it will be shown that the typical sorts of responses to this problem are all unworkable within the Quinean framework. It will then be shown that the lack of resources to solve this problem within the Quinean framework implies that Quine’s version of the indispensability argument cannot get off the ground, for it presupposes the possibility of making such a distinction.
    Epistemology of Mathematics, MiscIndispensability Arguments in MathematicsConfirmation, MiscConfirma…Read more
    Epistemology of Mathematics, MiscIndispensability Arguments in MathematicsConfirmation, MiscConfirmation Holism
  •  1680
    Reichenbach, Russell and the Metaphysics of Induction
    Argumenta 8 161-181. 2019.
    Hans Reichenbach’s pragmatic treatment of the problem of induction in his later works on inductive inference was, and still is, of great interest. However, it has been dismissed as a pseudo-solution and it has been regarded as problematically obscure. This is, in large part, due to the difficulty in understanding exactly what Reichenbach’s solution is supposed to amount to, especially as it appears to offer no response to the inductive skeptic. For entirely different reasons, the significance of…Read more
    Hans Reichenbach’s pragmatic treatment of the problem of induction in his later works on inductive inference was, and still is, of great interest. However, it has been dismissed as a pseudo-solution and it has been regarded as problematically obscure. This is, in large part, due to the difficulty in understanding exactly what Reichenbach’s solution is supposed to amount to, especially as it appears to offer no response to the inductive skeptic. For entirely different reasons, the significance of Bertrand Russell’s classic attempt to solve Hume’s problem is also both obscure and controversial. Russell accepted that Hume’s reasoning about induction was basically correct, but he argued that given the centrality of induction in our cognitive endeavors something must be wrong with Hume’s basic assumptions. What Russell effectively identified as Hume’s (and Reichenbach’s) failure was the commitment to a purely extensional empiricism. So, Russell’s solution to the problem of induction was to concede extensional empiricism and to accept that induction is grounded by accepting both a robust essentialism and a form of rationalism that allowed for a priori knowledge of universals. So, neither of those doctrines is without its critics. On the one hand, Reichenbach’s solution faces the charges of obscurity and of offering no response to the inductive skeptic. On the other hand, Russell’s solution looks to be objectionably ad hoc absent some non-controversial and independent argument that the universals that are necessary to ground the uniformity of nature actually exist and are knowable. This particular charge is especially likely to arise from those inclined towards purely extensional forms of empiricism. In this paper the significance of Reichenbach’s solution to the problem of induction will be made clearer via the comparison of these two historically important views about the problem of induction. The modest but important contention that will be made here is that the comparison of Reichenbach’s and Russell’s solutions calls attention to the opposition between extensional and intensional metaphysical presuppositions in the context of attempts to solve the problem of induction. It will be show that, in effect, what Reichenbach does is to establish an important epistemic limitation of extensional empiricism. So, it will be argued here that there is nothing really obscure about Reichenbach’s thoughts on induction at all. He was simply working out the limits of extensional empiricism with respect to inductive inference in opposition to the sort of metaphysics favored by Russell and like-minded thinkers.
    Justification of InductionIntension and ExtensionIntensional Modal LogicInductive ReasoningInductive…Read more
    Justification of InductionIntension and ExtensionIntensional Modal LogicInductive ReasoningInductive SkepticismRussell: Induction and Nondemonstrative InferenceRussell: Intellectual ContextRussell: Epistemology, MiscRussell: Philosophy of Science, MiscRussell: Metaphysics, MiscRussell: Logic and Philosophy of Logic, Misc
  •  1390
    Safety, the Preface Paradox and Possible Worlds Semantics
    Axiomathes 29 (4): 347-361. 2019.
    This paper contains an argument to the effect that possible worlds semantics renders semantic knowledge impossible, no matter what ontological interpretation is given to possible worlds. The essential contention made is that possible worlds semantic knowledge is unsafe and this is shown by a parallel with the preface paradox.
    Epistemic Paradoxes, MiscPossible World SemanticsFormal Semantics
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