• It is tempting to think that in an ideal world our social problems would be little more than coordination games. In such cases, all actors have aligned incentives and, moreover, reliable means of establishing a socially optimal convention. For one thing, those with compatible strategies can learn to interact more often with each other. For another, they can signal to others that they would adopt the optimal convention, so long as enough others are also willing. But what if coordination games are…Read more
  • Just probabilities
    Noûs 58 (4): 948-972. 2024.
    I defend the thesis that legal standards of proof are reducible to thresholds of probability. Many reject this thesis because it appears to permit finding defendants liable solely on the basis of statistical evidence. To the contrary, I argue – by combining Thomson's (1986) causal analysis of legal evidence with formal methods of causal inference – that legal standards of proof can be reduced to probabilities, but that deriving these probabilities involves more than just statistics.
  • Proceed with Caution
    Canadian Journal of Philosophy (1): 6-25. 2021.
    It is becoming more common that the decision-makers in private and public institutions are predictive algorithmic systems, not humans. This article argues that relying on algorithmic systems is procedurally unjust in contexts involving background conditions of structural injustice. Under such nonideal conditions, algorithmic systems, if left to their own devices, cannot meet a necessary condition of procedural justice, because they fail to provide a sufficiently nuanced model of which cases coun…Read more