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A popular indifference principle for self-locating probability faces skeptical challenges, most notably a skeptical challenge concerning Boltzmann Brains. We examine the prospects for various views that prescribe some degree of bias in place of indifference. While a bias view has attractive anti-skeptical features, it turns out that bias leads to puzzles about deference to chance, reflection, and other related principles.Bias Against Boltzmann Brains?Noûs. forthcoming. -
This article gives a Bayesian argument showing that, even if your total empirical evidence confirms that you have zillions of duplicate Boltzmann Brains, that evidence does not confirm that you are a Boltzmann Brain. The article also attempts to explain what goes wrong with several of the sources of the temptation for thinking that such evidence does have skeptical implications.Why I Am Not a Boltzmann BrainPhilosophical Review 134 (1): 1-33. 2025. -
We debate whether permissivism is true. We start off by assuming an accuracy-oriented framework, and then discuss metaepistemological questions about how our epistemic evaluations promote accuracy.Are You Now or Have You Ever Been an Impermissivist? --- A conversation among friends and enemies of epistemic freedomIn Blake Roeber, Matthias Steup, Ernest Sosa & John Turri (eds.), Contemporary Debates in Epistemology, Wiley-blackwell. 2024. -
Representation and RationalityPhilosophy and Phenomenological Research 106 (1): 221-230. 2021.David Lewis (1974, 1994/1999) proposed to reduce the facts about mental representation to facts about sensory evidence, dispositions to act, and rationality. Recently, Robert Williams (2020) and Adam Pautz (2021) have taken up and developed Lewis’s project in sophisticated and novel ways. In this paper, we aim to present, clarify, and ultimately object to the core thesis that they all build their own views around. The different sophisticated developments and defenses notwithstanding, we think th…Read more
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Knowing our degrees of beliefEpisteme 13 (3): 269-287. 2016.The main question of this paper is: how do we manage to know what our own degrees of belief are? Section 1 briefly reviews and criticizes the traditional functionalist view, a view notably associated with David Lewis and sometimes called the theory-theory. I use this criticism to motivate the approach I want to promote. Section 2, the bulk of the paper, examines and begins to develop the view that we have a special kind of introspective access to our degrees of belief. I give an initial assessme…Read more
Austin, Texas, United States of America
Areas of Specialization
| Epistemology |
Areas of Interest
| Epistemology |
| Logic and Philosophy of Logic |
| Philosophy of Probability, Misc |