-
35A skewed jury theorem: more theorems in search of the truthSynthese 206 (3). 2025.I propose a ranking-based aggregation model utilizing quantiles, such as the median or first quartile. This approach is broader than most in existing literature, as it does not require competent individuals. It recovers the asymptotic convergence property of finite estimations in the Condorcet Jury Theorem as a special case. This procedure is radical in occasionally granting greater respect to minority opinions. An optimistic conclusion is that individual errors can be mitigated and the wisdom o…Read more
-
142Volume IntroductionThe Proceedings of the Twenty-First World Congress of Philosophy 5 11-13. 2007.
-
38"The hazards of underspecified models: The case of symmetry in everyday predictions": Correction to Sedlmeier and Kilinç (2004)Psychological Review 115 (2): 462-462. 2008.
-
78"The hazards of underspecified models: The case of symmetry in everyday predictions": Correction to Sedlmeier and Kilinç (2004)Psychological Review 115 (1): 198-198. 2008.
-
54The Hazards of Underspecified Models: The Case of Symmetry in Everyday PredictionsPsychological Review 111 (3): 770-780. 2004.
-
196Robert Leslie Ellis and John Stuart mill on the one and the many of frequentismBritish Journal for the History of Philosophy 8 (2): 251-274. 2000.(2000). ROBERT LESLIE ELLIS AND JOHN STUART MILL ON THE ONE AND THE MANY OF FREQUENTISM. British Journal for the History of Philosophy: Vol. 8, No. 2, pp. 251-274.
-
3John Venn's evolutionary logic of chanceStudies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 30 (4): 559-585. 1999.
-
180Meta-analysis as Judgment AggregationIn Henk W. De Regt, Stephan Hartmann & Samir Okasha (eds.), EPSA Philosophy of Science: Amsterdam 2009, Springer. pp. 123--135. 2011.My goal in this paper is to see the extent to which judgment aggregation methods subsume meta-analytic ones. To this end, I derive a generalized version of the classical Condorcet Jury Theorem, the aggregative implications of which have been widely exploited in the area of rational choice theory, but not yet in philosophy of science. I contend that the generalized CJT that I prove below is useful for modelling at least some meta-analytic procedures
-
73Kant on Chance and ExplanationIn Dennis Dieks, Wenceslao Gonzalo, Thomas Uebel, Stephan Hartmann & Marcel Weber (eds.), Explanation, Prediction, and Confirmation, Springer. pp. 453--463. 2011.
