•  281
    What, ontologically speaking, are best system laws? Should the laws of the best system account be identified with sentences, or propositions, or perhaps something else? These questions differ from more familiar questions about which criteria we should use to pick out the best system laws: regardless of whether laws are picked out using simplicity, informativeness, tractability, predictability, perfect naturalness, or whatever, there remains the question of what, ontologically, the best system la…Read more
  •  267
    Typicality-based chance
    Philosophical Quarterly. forthcoming.
    I use typicality to formulate and defend a functional characterization of chance. According to the characterization, called ‘Typicality-Based Chance’, to be a chance is to be typically approximated by possible frequencies, where the details of the approximation are expressed by the law of large numbers. Among its other virtues, Typicality-Based Chance supports an attractively empiricist answer to a persistent question in the literature—often raised by those who view typicality with suspicion—con…Read more
  •  449
    Justifying Typicality Measures
    Analysis. forthcoming.
    Mathematical measures are often used to express facts about what is typical — about what the vast majority of cases, in other words, are like. Many different measures can be used to express typicality facts, however. So exactly what justifies choosing one measure over another? In this paper, I propose an empiricist answer to this question. Roughly put, the answer only appeals to observations of frequencies, along with the standard scientific assumption that the results of experiments are not qua…Read more
  •  512
    Talk About Types
    Mind. forthcoming.
    Many metaphysical theories of identity, existence, and so on, are formulated using higher-order languages like the simply typed lambda calculus. But as I argue, for the purposes of metaphysical theorizing, a different language would be better: the calculus of constructions. Since this language—like many pure type systems—allows for quantification over types, it is preferable to the languages currently being used in the philosophical literature. For the purposes of metaphysical theorizing, in oth…Read more
  •  36
    Correction: Pure type systems and generalized grounding
    Philosophical Studies 1-2. forthcoming.
  •  443
    Pure type systems and generalized grounding
    Philosophical Studies. forthcoming.
    In this paper, I present several philosophical applications of pure type systems. As I explain, many pure type systems are more expressively powerful than the higher-order languages—like the simply typed lambda calculus—on which philosophers have focused. Consequently, pure type systems support the formulation of more general, and more unified, metaphysical theories. To illustrate this, I use pure type systems to formulate some extremely general principles of grounding: these principles describe…Read more
  •  118
    A statistical analysis of luck
    Synthese 197 (2): 867-885. 2020.
    A modal analysis of luck, due to Duncan Pritchard, has become quite popular in recent years. There are many reasons to like Pritchard’s analysis, but at least two compelling problems have been identified. So I propose an alternative analysis of luck based on the laws of statistical mechanics. The statistical analysis avoids the two problems facing Pritchard’s analysis, and it has many other attractive features.
  •  803
    I review the volume ``Higher-Order Metaphysics'' edited by Peter Fritz and Nicholas K. Jones.
  •  509
    Typicality First
    Philosophical Quarterly 75 (3): 1189-1209. 2025.
    Instances of the law of large numbers are used to model many different physical systems. In this paper, I argue for a particular interpretation, of those instances of that law, which appeals to typicality. As I argue, the content of that law, when used to model physical systems, is that the probability of an event typically—rather than probably—approximates the frequency with which that event occurs.
  •  29
    Logic for Justice
    Routledge. 2023.
    An introductory textbook, Logic for Justice covers, in full detail, the language and semantics of both propositional logic and first-order logic. It motivates the study of those logical systems by drawing on social and political issues. Basically, Logic for Justice frames propositional logic and first-order logic as two theories of the distinction between good arguments and bad arguments. And the book explains why, for the purposes of social justice and political reform, we need theories of that…Read more
  •  613
    Centering the Born Rule
    Quantum Reports 5 (1): 311-324. 2023.
    The centered Everett interpretation solves a problem that various approaches to quantum theory face. In this paper, I continue developing the theory underlying that solution. In particular, I defend the centered Everett interpretation against a few objections, and I provide additional motivation for some of its key features.
  •  685
    Explanatory circles
    Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 108 (C): 84-92. 2024.
    Roughly put, explanatory circles — if any exist — would be propositions such that (i) each explains the next, and (ii) the last explains the first. In this paper, I give two arguments for the view that there are explanatory circles. The first argument appeals to general relativistic worlds in which time is circular. The second argument appeals to special science theories that describe feedback loops. In addition, I show that three standard arguments against explanatory circles are unsuccessful.
  •  671
    Bohmian Collapse
    In Angelo Bassi, Sheldon Goldstein, Roderich Tumulka & Nino Zanghì (eds.), Physics and the Nature of Reality: Essays in Memory of Detlef Dürr, Springer. pp. 63-70. 2024.
    I present and explain the Bohmian account of collapse in quantum mechanics.
  •  58
    What sorts of aims, or goals, are constitutive of science? How does scientific evidence relate to the knowledge that science produces? And can the No Miracles Argument for scientific realism be defended against concerns about the explanatory capacity of truth? In Knowing Science, Bird engages with questions like these at length. In this paper, I engage with these questions too. I raise some concerns for the view that aiming at knowledge is constitutive of science. I provide three counterexamples…Read more
  •  640
    The Value of Naturalness
    Erkenntnis 90 (2). 2025.
    It is often assumed that theorizing in terms of natural properties is more objectively valuable than theorizing in terms of non-natural properties. But this assumption faces an explanatory challenge: explain the greater objective value of theorizing in terms of natural properties. In this paper, I answer that challenge by proposing and exploring three different accounts of the objective value of naturalness. Two appeal to constitutive natures: it is part of the constitutive nature of explanation…Read more
  •  739
    Mystical Rationality
    In Helen De Cruz & Johan De Smedt (eds.), Avatar: The Last Airbender and Philosophy: Wisdom From Aang to Zuko, Wiley-blackwell. 2022.
    In this chapter, we explore some ways in which reasoning based on mysticism can be rational, focusing on the episode “The Fortuneteller,” in which Aang, Katara, and Sokka save a village from a volcanic eruption. Throughout this episode, Sokka advocates a purely empirical approach to reasoning. The villagers, however, believe that no source of knowledge is more reliable than Aunt Wu, the local fortuneteller. At several points in the episode, Sokka claims that the villagers’ reliance on Aunt Wu is…Read more
  •  1081
    The Typical Principle
    British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 76 (4): 1059-1076. 2025.
    If a proposition is typically true, given your evidence, then you should believe that proposition; or so I argue here. In particular, in this paper, I propose and defend a principle of rationality---call it the `Typical Principle'---which links rational belief to facts about what is typical. As I show, this principle avoids several problems that other, seemingly similar principles face. And as I show, in many cases, this principle implies the verdicts of the Principal Principle: so ultimately, t…Read more
  •  1113
    Worlds are Pluralities
    Australasian Journal of Philosophy 102 (1): 221-231. 2024.
    I propose an account of possible worlds. According to the account, possible worlds are pluralities of sentences in an extremely large language. This account avoids a problem, relating to the total number of possible worlds, that other accounts face. And it has several additional benefits.
  •  875
    Tractability and laws
    Synthese 200 (4): 1-17. 2022.
    According to the Best System Account of lawhood, laws of nature are theorems of the deductive systems that best balance simplicity and strength. In this paper, I advocate a different account of lawhood which is related, in spirit, to the BSA: according to my account, laws are theorems of deductive systems that best balance simplicity, strength, and also calculational tractability. I discuss two problems that the BSA faces, and I show that my account solves them. I also use my account to illumina…Read more
  •  1344
    Centering the Everett Interpretation
    Philosophical Quarterly 72 (4): 1019-1039. 2022.
    I propose an account of probability in the Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics. According to the account, probabilities are objective chances of centered propositions. As I show, the account solves a number of problems concerning the role of probability in the Everett interpretation. It also challenges an implicit assumption, concerning the aim and scope of fundamental physical theories, that is made throughout the philosophy of physics literature.
  •  1178
    Pluralities, counterparts, and groups
    Philosophical Studies 179 (7): 2133-2153. 2022.
    I formulate a theory of groups based on pluralities and counterparts: roughly put, a group is a plurality of entities at a time. This theory comes with counterpart-theoretic semantics for modal and temporal sentences about groups. So this theory of groups is akin to the stage theory of material objects: both take the items they analyze to exist at a single time, and both use counterparts to satisfy certain conditions relating to the modal properties, temporal properties, and coincidence properti…Read more
  •  1504
    Intrinsicality and Entanglement
    Mind 131 (521): 35-58. 2022.
    I explore the relationship between a prominent analysis of intrinsic properties, due to Langton and Lewis, and the phenomenon of quantum entanglement. As I argue, the analysis faces a puzzle. The full analysis classifies certain properties of entangled particles as intrinsic. But when combined with an extremely plausible assumption about duplication, the main part of the analysis classifies those properties as non-intrinsic instead. I conclude that much of Lewis’s metaphysics is in trouble: Lewi…Read more
  •  186
    Comparing Mathematical Explanations
    British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 74 (1): 269-290. 2023.
    Philosophers have developed several detailed accounts of what makes some mathematical proofs explanatory. Significantly less attention has been paid, however, to what makes some proofs more explanatory than other proofs. That is problematic, since the reasons for thinking that some proofs explain are also reasons for thinking that some proofs are more explanatory than others. So in this paper, I develop an account of comparative explanation in mathematics. I propose a theory of the `at least as …Read more
  •  106
    Comparing the structures of mathematical objects
    Synthese 199 (3-4): 6357-6369. 2021.
    A popular method for comparing the structures of mathematical objects, which I call the ‘subset approach’, says that X has more structure than Y just in case X’s automorphisms form a proper subset of Y’s automorphisms. This approach is attractive, in part, because it seems to yield the right results in some comparisons of spacetime structure. But as I show, it yields the wrong results in a number of other cases. The problem is that the subset approach compares structure using automorphism sets. …Read more
  •  215
    The Counteridentical Account of Explanatory Identities
    Journal of Philosophy 118 (2): 57-78. 2021.
    Many explanations rely on identity facts. In this paper, I propose an account of how identity facts explain: roughly, the fact that A is identical to B explains another fact whenever that other fact depends, counterfactually, on A being identical to B. As I show, this account has many virtues. It avoids several problems facing accounts of explanatory identities, and when precisified using structural equations, it can be used to defend interventionist accounts of causation against an objection.
  •  301
    Grounding and propositional identity
    Analysis 81 (1): 80-81. 2021.
    I show that standard grounding conditions contradict standard conditions for the identities of propositions.
  •  1258
    Centering the Principal Principle
    Philosophical Studies 178 (6): 1897-1915. 2020.
    I show that centered propositions—also called de se propositions, and usually modeled as sets of centered worlds—pose a serious problem for various versions of Lewis's Principal Principle. The problem, put roughly, is that in scenarios like Elga's `Sleeping Beauty' case, those principles imply that rational agents ought to have obviously irrational credences. To solve the problem, I propose a centered version of the Principal Principle. My version allows centered propositions to be objectively c…Read more
  •  221
    Explanatory priority monism
    Philosophical Studies 178 (4): 1339-1359. 2020.
    Explanations are backed by many different relations: causation, grounding, and arguably others too. But why are these different relations capable of backing explanations? In virtue of what are they explanatory? In this paper, I propose and defend a monistic account of explanation-backing relations. On my account, there is a single relation which backs all cases of explanation, and which explains why those other relations are explanation-backing.
  •  174
    The Stage Theory of Groups
    Tandf: Australasian Journal of Philosophy 98 (4): 661-674. 2020.
    I propose a `stage theory’ of groups: a group is a fusion of group-stages, where a group-stage is a plurality of individuals at a world and a time. The stage theory consists of existence conditions, identity conditions, and parthood conditions for groups.
  •  189
    The Ontology of Mechanisms
    Journal of Philosophy 116 (11): 615-636. 2019.
    I propose a metaphysical theory of mechanisms based on the notion of causation. In particular, I use causation to formulate existence, identity, and parthood conditions for mechanisms. These conditions provide a sound metaphysical basis for accounts of mechanistic explanation, mechanistic organization, and for more restrictive theories of mechanisms.