•  121
    The paper examines how misinformation may shape vaccine decision-making and lead to delay or refusal, even when individuals doubt its truth. It uses an expected utility framework to identify three mechanisms: eroding perceived credibility of authoritative sources, increasing perceived undesirability of adverse effects, and a combination of modest shifts in both. The model shows such behavioural changes can be instrumentally rational under uncertainty rather than representing cognitive failure.
  •  41
    This thesis shows that suspicion about the existence of bias in demographic statistical studies which align with social stereotypes and potentially support one side of a major political controversy can provide sufficient grounds for rationally suspending judgment about their content and refusing to use them in decision-making. Using the framework of bounded Bayesianism, it explores the perspectives of both statistically sophisticated agents and statistically novice yet socially-aware agents towa…Read more